Pre-tourney Rankings
Big Sky
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
95 Montana 100.0%   14   23 - 6 15 - 1 23 - 6 15 - 1 +5.2      +0.4 157 +4.8 48 66.2 204 +5.5 93 +10.8 1
123 Weber St. 0.0%   22 - 6 14 - 2 22 - 6 14 - 2 +3.1      +5.4 50 -2.3 246 68.0 154 +6.7 78 +7.0 2
207 Portland St. 0.0%   15 - 15 10 - 6 15 - 15 10 - 6 -2.4      +3.9 71 -6.2 317 69.1 127 -2.5 207 -1.5 3
213 Eastern Washington 0.0%   13 - 17 8 - 8 13 - 17 8 - 8 -2.7      -1.1 204 -1.6 223 72.4 66 -3.9 230 -5.1 4
254 Northern Colorado 0.0%   8 - 18 5 - 11 8 - 18 5 - 11 -5.6      +1.2 135 -6.8 329 69.8 115 -7.7 284 -10.2 8
292 Montana St. 0.0%   10 - 17 7 - 9 10 - 17 7 - 9 -8.0      -4.0 280 -3.9 279 69.7 118 -6.9 275 -6.1 6
293 Sacramento St. 0.0%   8 - 18 5 - 11 8 - 18 5 - 11 -8.0      -3.2 261 -4.8 292 66.4 198 -10.0 302 -9.8 7
300 Idaho St. 0.0%   8 - 21 7 - 9 8 - 21 7 - 9 -8.9      -3.5 272 -5.4 311 67.4 170 -8.4 290 -5.9 5
338 Northern Arizona 0.0%   3 - 24 1 - 15 3 - 24 1 - 15 -15.6      -8.2 324 -7.4 332 66.2 205 -16.1 330 -19.8 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Montana 1.0 100.0
Weber St. 2.0 100.0
Portland St. 3.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 4.0 100.0
Northern Colorado 7.0 100.0
Montana St. 5.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 7.0 100.0
Idaho St. 5.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 9.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Montana 15 - 1 100.0
Weber St. 14 - 2 100.0
Portland St. 10 - 6 100.0
Eastern Washington 8 - 8 100.0
Northern Colorado 5 - 11 100.0
Montana St. 7 - 9 100.0
Sacramento St. 5 - 11 100.0
Idaho St. 7 - 9 100.0
Northern Arizona 1 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Montana 100.0% 100.0
Weber St.
Portland St.
Eastern Washington
Northern Colorado
Montana St.
Sacramento St.
Idaho St.
Northern Arizona


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Montana 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.0 0.1 4.3 66.5 29.2
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Montana 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 16.1% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 16.1% 0.2 83.9 16.1
Sweet Sixteen 4.7% 0.0 95.3 4.7
Elite Eight 0.9% 0.0 99.1 0.9
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0